How we think about healthcare and biotech.
Research notes, sample work products, and methodology pieces from MCS Advisory and CatalystIQ. Calibrated against actual closed transactions, not theoretical frameworks.
Proof, organized by how we help you.
Four pathways. Under each, the research, methodology, and sample work that show we have actually done it, calibrated against real transactions, not theoretical frameworks.
Transaction Advisory
Healthcare M&A · Valuation · CapitalThe first question every practice owner asks is "what is my practice actually worth?", and the honest answer starts with recognizing that buyers do not pay for last year's tax return. They pay for normalized EBITDA, applied against a market multiple that in 2026 runs roughly 6 to 12× for physician practices and centers on a 7.9× median for ambulatory surgery centers, with regional platforms reaching 11 to 17×. The gap between a prepared seller and an unprepared one is often measured in millions of enterprise value.
Our transaction work is built on multi-method valuation, DCF, market comparables, EVA, and APV, triangulated and stress-tested, the same discipline whether we are valuing a practice, an ASC, or a public company. The downloadable guides below lay out exactly how buyers price your business and how the methods work.
What Is Your Practice or ASC Worth? A 2026 Valuation Guide
How buyers actually price physician practices and ASCs in 2026, the core equation, what moves the multiple, current market ranges (practices 6 to 12×, ASCs 7.9× median), the 2026 Medicare wrinkle, and a worked normalization example. Market data cited from VMG Health's 2026 Healthcare M&A Report.
Four Ways to Value a Business: DCF, Comps, EVA & APV
What each valuation method measures, when to trust it, and why serious analysis uses all four and reads the disagreement rather than forcing a single number. The methodology behind every MCS transaction engagement.
Med Spa Platform: Market Opportunity & Operating Proforma
A market-opportunity and operating proforma prepared for an aesthetics platform, sizing the opportunity, modeling unit economics, and framing the capital story for investors.
Behavioral Health Seed Raise, VC-Method Return Analysis
Comprehensive financial projections for a rapidly expanding behavioral health platform, enabling a successful capital raise, built on VC-method return analysis and a defensible growth model.
Fractional CFO & COO
Margins · Cash Flow · FP&AThe most common financial pain we hear from practice owners in 2026 is some version of "we are busy but not making money." A full schedule with flat cash is almost always a margin-visibility problem: revenue looks fine, but no one can say which providers, service lines, or payers actually produce margin versus workload. A bookkeeper records transactions; a fractional CFO answers the why behind them.
Our fractional CFO/COO work builds segmented reporting by provider and service line, tightens the revenue cycle to cut days in A/R (clients typically see a 20 to 30% reduction), and models growth so decisions are made on numbers rather than instinct, senior finance leadership without a full-time hire.
Financial Analysis Cheatsheet, Ratios That Actually Matter
The financial ratios that reveal whether a practice is healthy, liquidity, margin, cash conversion, and leverage, with the thresholds that matter for a medical practice or ASC.
Busy but Broke: Why a Full Schedule Doesn't Mean Full Bank Accounts
A margin-by-provider and margin-by-service-line diagnostic, the analysis that separates activity from actual profit and shows exactly where a busy practice leaks margin. Includes a quick self-check.
Cutting Days in A/R: A Cash Flow Playbook for Practices
The playbook behind a 20 to 30% reduction in days sales outstanding, the aging-bucket diagnosis, the five-step recovery sequence, and the system that keeps cash flowing. No new patients required.
Reading Your Financial Statements: A Practice Owner's Guide
Income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, what each measures, why you need all three, and how they explain the paradox of a profitable practice that still runs short on cash.
A Business Plan for Growth: Expanding a Practice on Purpose
The framework that models growth before you commit, cost, ramp, break-even, and cash impact, with a worked example of adding a provider that goes margin-negative before it turns.
Investment Analysis · CatalystIQ
Equity Research · rNPV · CatalystsWe publish investment calls with explicit theses, probability-weighted targets, and full return decomposition, then we track them in public. Our deepest lane: from a vindicated conservative valuation on Esperion to a full corporate valuation of a public operator, all built on the same multi-method discipline (DCF, comps, EVA, APV) and calibrated against actual closed transactions. This is not investment advice; it is how we think, shown on the record.
Esperion (ESPR) Conservative Valuation Note, Vindicated by $3.16 Buyout
A deliberately conservative valuation call that the market subsequently validated. The thesis, the target, and the outcome, a tracked call followed in public.
Caesars Entertainment (CZR), A Corporate Valuation & Value-Creation Analysis
A multi-method valuation of a lease-encumbered operator with two live takeover bids, DCF, comps, EVA, and APV, with the sale-leaseback insight at its center. Independent research for educational purposes; not investment advice.
Strategic Asset Allocation, Q1 2026 15-Holding Scorecard
A 15-holding strategic asset allocation, published with theses and tracked on the record through the quarter.
Q1 2026 S&P 500 Earnings Insight
A data-driven read on Q1 2026 earnings across the index, the kind of analysis the CatalystIQ terminal produces at scale.
Defense & Federal Health
MHS · DHA · Federal AdvisoryThe Military Health System serves 9.4 million beneficiaries across 700+ facilities, and 2026 is a pivotal year, MHS GENESIS is fully deployed, the DHA faces a congressional mandate to reattract care to military treatment facilities, and the FY2027 defense health budget exceeds $72.5 billion. Our federal work is grounded in real program experience, including leadership on a $1.5B DoD healthcare consolidation.
What $1.5B in DoD Healthcare Consolidation Teaches Private-Sector Integration
Lessons from JTF CAPMED, the consolidation of Walter Reed and the National Naval Medical Center, applied to private-sector health system integration.
Veterans Behavioral Health: Reaching Veterans Where They Are
Most veterans lost to suicide were not in VA care. How federal policy, COMPACT, suicide-prevention grants, community-care contracts, is pushing behavioral health into the community, and what competent veteran-serving providers need to deliver.
Developing ASCs for VA Healthcare: Saving Federal Dollars
The VA pays roughly three times more for the same outpatient surgery in a hospital than in an ASC ($4,301 vs. $1,346 for cataracts). How VA-aligned ASC capacity saves federal dollars while cutting veteran wait times, a rare payer-veteran-operator win.
The same methodology across every lane.
DCF, Discounted cash flow modeling with sensitivity analysis on growth rates, margins, discount rates, and terminal values. The same framework Wall Street uses, applied with operator judgment.
rNPV, Risk-adjusted Net Present Value for biotech pipelines. Phase-success probabilities, indication-specific TAM, peak-sales modeling, discount rate selection. Calibrated against actual M&A transaction prices, not textbook assumptions.
Sum-of-parts, Asset-by-asset valuation for diversified platforms. Useful when DCF understates value because individual pipeline assets, business units, or geographies have differentiated risk profiles.
M&A reverse-engineering, Working backward from actual closed transaction prices to extract implied multiples, capture rates, and risk premia. The market tells you what real money pays, we listen.
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